1. Most of the people have good intentions most of the time.
  2. Because beliefs are tied to actions and their consequences, how we continue to develop our beliefs is extremely important.
  3. Effective conversation depends both on a focus on what you want to achieve and sensitivity to the frame of mind of other people.
  4. A challenge for individuals as they grow up is to become less egocentric; for humanity it is to become less anthropocentric.
  5. Having things to do, being focused on tasks, is generally better for one-self and for one's surroundings than to be focused on oneself a lot.
  6. Often, when you become good at something, your 'reward' is that you're asked to do more of that activity. So you'd better find interesting what you try to become good at.
  7. Negative experiences can often turn out useful but it does not follow from this that negative experiences are always a prerequisite for improvement and that we, therefore, have to create negative experiences in order to improve.
  8. We often over-estimate the importance of personal characteristics and talents as causal factors of our behaviors and achievements and we tend to underestimate the influence of situations and systems.
  9. While we may never be able to formulate definite descriptions of objective reality, we can often distinguish between false and falser. We can make progress in finding out what is less true and what is more true.
  10. The scientific enterprise is extremely valuable and we should continue to improve its practice.
  11. All scientific journals should transform themselves into open access online journals so that the transparancy of science will improve.
  12. Prolonged rises of income and wealth inequality in developed societies are harmful for everyone within them and are a threat to the integrity of those societies.
  13. I expect that it will once become common for societies to set a maximum to how much capital any individual may own.
  14. We can derive an ‘ought’ from an ‘is’. We constantly build bridges between our our better pasts and better futures.
  15. Superstition brings bad luck.
  16. Learning to protect ourselves and others against contaminated mindware will make the world a better place
  17. Societal progress importantly depends on learning to reject authority in regard to knowledge and develop a tradition of skepticism
  18. Eventually, we will move beyond religion; all religious dogma will be seen, by most people, as untenable.
  19. Believing things just because you want them to be true can be dangerous.
  20. What we think of as biological races are socially constructed, cultural categories. Thinking of people in ‘black’ and ‘white’ terms is unjustified and unwise.
  21. The criterion for deciding whether or not something is morally right or wrong should be its impact on the thriving of conscious creatures
  22. People will, gradually, become kinder and more civilized both in the way they treat each other and in the way they treat other animals.
  23. In the future everything will be better, even our ability to notice it.
  24. The art of wisdom is preparing oneself for a future of inconceivable possibilities
I am willing to exchange any of these beliefs and predictions for more valid ones. So do let me know which of these beliefs is least realistic and why.

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